Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.210643 0.229420 0.249398 0.272284 0.297837 0.325555 0.357989
2026-01-25 0.173172 0.198742 0.227783 0.263415 0.306237 0.356395 0.420112
2026-02-01 0.150934 0.179717 0.213962 0.258132 0.314209 0.383865 0.478264
2026-02-08 0.134294 0.164473 0.201690 0.251615 0.317842 0.404142 0.527584
2026-02-15 0.122114 0.153093 0.192460 0.247056 0.322265 0.424463 0.577857
2026-02-22 0.115259 0.147658 0.189993 0.250573 0.337089 0.459523 0.652237
2026-03-01 0.107710 0.140524 0.184426 0.248959 0.344049 0.483508 0.712558
2026-03-08 0.100589 0.133338 0.178072 0.245412 0.347456 0.502042 0.766082
2026-03-15 0.093634 0.125844 0.170644 0.239508 0.346488 0.513329 0.808642
2026-03-22 0.091135 0.124415 0.171664 0.246055 0.364995 0.556911 0.911304
2026-03-29 0.088331 0.122313 0.171473 0.250602 0.380551 0.597061 1.013403
2026-04-05 0.084717 0.118766 0.168838 0.251015 0.389216 0.626192 1.099013
2026-04-12 0.079615 0.112824 0.162362 0.245067 0.387124 0.637076 1.152783
2026-04-19 0.074500 0.106605 0.155124 0.237400 0.381482 0.641123 1.193909
2026-04-26 0.070515 0.101901 0.149963 0.232773 0.380712 0.653998 1.255358
2026-05-03 0.066621 0.097130 0.144404 0.227042 0.377380 0.661500 1.306192
2026-05-10 0.063397 0.093242 0.140039 0.223028 0.376794 0.674193 1.370613
2026-05-17 0.061845 0.091927 0.139772 0.226125 0.389750 0.715407 1.508731
2026-05-24 0.059528 0.089255 0.137095 0.224704 0.393849 0.738711 1.607663
2026-05-31 0.057055 0.086209 0.133619 0.221580 0.394288 0.754209 1.689643
2026-06-07 0.054375 0.082701 0.129178 0.216378 0.390100 0.759092 1.744587
2026-06-14 0.053775 0.082613 0.130583 0.222147 0.408723 0.816992 1.955459
2026-06-21 0.052899 0.082013 0.131054 0.226151 0.424016 0.869214 2.162607